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Air Trends

Air Quality Trends

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Air Quality Trends

EPA creates air quality trends using measurements from monitors located across the country. The table below shows that air quality based on concentrations of the common pollutants has improved nationally since 1980.

Percent Change in Air Quality

  1980 vs 2010 1990 vs 2010 2000 vs 2010
 
Carbon Monoxide (CO) -82 -73 -54
Ozone (O3)  (8-hr) -28 -17 -11
Lead (Pb) -90 -83 -62
Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) (annual) -52 -45 -38
PM10 (24-hr) --- -38 -29
PM2.5 (annual) --- --- -27
PM2.5 (24-hr) --- --- -29
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) (24-hr) -76 -68 -48

Notes:
1. --- Trend data not available
2. Negative numbers indicate improvements in air quality

National and local air quality trends graphs showing the nation’s progress towards clean air are available for: carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), lead (Pb), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM), and sulfur dioxide (SO2).


Emission Trends

EPA estimates nationwide emissions of ambient air pollutants and the pollutants they are formed from (their precursors). These estimates are based on actual monitored readings or engineering calculations of the amounts and types of pollutants emitted by vehicles, factories, and other sources. Emission estimates are based on many factors, including levels of industrial activity, technological developments, fuel consumption, vehicle miles traveled, and other activities that cause air pollution.

Emissions information is developed with input from state and local air agencies, tribes, and industry.  EPA tracks a range of emissions data, including how much of each pollutant is emitted from various pollution sources.  To view national, state, and local emissions summary data, see EPA’s Air Emission Sources site. The table below shows that emissions of the common air pollutants and their precursors have been reduced substantially since 1980.

Percent Change in Emissions

  1980 vs 2010 1990 vs 2010 2000 vs 2010
 
Carbon Monoxide (CO) -71 -60 -44
Lead (Pb) -97 -60 -33
Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) -52 -48 -41
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) -63 -52 -35
Direct PM10 -83 -67 -50
Direct PM2.5 --- -55 -55
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) -69 -65 -50

Notes:
1. --- Trend data not available
2. Direct PM10 emissions for 1980 are based on data since 1985
3. Negative numbers indicate reductions in emissions

Emissions of air pollutants continue to play an important role in a number of air quality issues. In 2010, about 90 million tons of pollution were emitted into the atmosphere in the United States. These emissions mostly contribute to the formation of ozone and particles, the deposition of acids, and visibility impairment.

The table below shows changes in national estimates of emissions for the common air pollutants or, where appropriate, the precursor pollutants that form them.

To get detailed information about emissions estimates displayed below, please visit EPA's Clearinghouse for Inventories and Emissions Factors (CHIEF).

National Emissions Estimates
(fires and dust excluded)
For Common Pollutants and their Precursors

  Millions of Tons Per Year
  1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
 
Carbon Monoxide (CO) 178 170 144 120 102 81 57
Lead 0.074 0.023 0.005 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.002
Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) 27 26 25 25 22 19 13
Volatile Organic
  Compounds (VOC)
30 27 23 22 17 18 11
Particulate Matter (PM)
    PM10
    PM2.5

6
NA

4
NA

3
2

3
2

2
2

2
1

1
0.9
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) 26 23 23 19 16 15 8
 
Totals 267 250 220 191 161 136 90

Notes:

  1. In 1985 and 1996 EPA refined its methods for estimating emissions. Between 1970 and 1975, EPA revised its methods for estimating PM emissions.
  2. The estimates for 2005 and beyond are from the final version 2 of the 2005 NEI.
  3. For CO, NOx, SO2 and VOC emissions, fires are excluded because they are highly variable; for direct PM emissions both fires and dust are excluded.
  4. PM estimates do not include condensable PM.
  5. EPA has not estimated PM2.5 emissions prior to 1990.
  6. The 1999 estimate for lead is used for 2000, and the 2002 estimate for lead is used for 2005 and 2010.
  7. PM2.5 emissions are not added when calculating the total because they are included in the PM10 estimate.

Annual emissions estimates are used as one indicator of the effectiveness of our programs. The graph below shows that between 1980 and 2011, gross domestic product increased 128 percent, vehicle miles traveled increased 94 percent, energy consumption increased 26 percent, and U.S. population grew by 37 percent. During the same time period, total emissions of the six principal air pollutants dropped by 63 percent. The graph also shows that between 1980 and 2010, CO2 emissions increased by 21%.

Comparison of Growth Areas and Emissions, 1980-2011
Comparison of Growth Areas and Emissions, showing that between 1980 and 2008, gross domestic product increased 126 percent, vehicle miles traveled increased 91 percent, energy consumption increased 29 percent, and U.S. population grew by 34 percent. During the same time period, total emissions of the six principal air pollutants dropped by 54 percent.
Note: CO2 emissions estimate through 2010 (Source: 2012 US Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report)
         Gross Domestic Product: Bureau of Economic Analysis
         Vehicle Miles Traveled: Federal Highway Administration
         Population: Census Bureau
         Energy Consumption: Dept. of Energy, Energy Information Administration
         Aggregate Emissions: EPA Clearinghouse for Inventories and Emissions Factors

(see the graphic above for 1970-2011)

Despite great progress in air quality improvement, approximately 124 million people nationwide lived in counties with pollution levels above the primary NAAQS in 2010.

Number of People Living in Counties with Air Quality
Concentrations Above the Level of the NAAQS in 2010


Number of People Living in Counties with Air Quality Concentrations Above the Level of the NAAQS in 2008 by pollutant, showing 0 people for Carbon Monoxide, 4.8 million people for Lead, 0 people for Nitrogen Dioxide, 119.5 million people for Ozone (based on the 8-hour standard), 14.9 million people for PM10, 36.9 million people for PM2.5, 0.2 million people for Sulfur Dioxide, and 126.8 million people when all pollutants are considered together.

Multiple years of data are generally used to determine if an area attains the NAAQS. The chart above is for one year only.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division http://www.census.gov/popest/counties/asrh/CC-EST2009-agesex.html

Note: In 2008, EPA strengthened the national standards for 8-hour ozone to 0.075 ppm and the national standards for lead to 0.15 µg/m3. This figure includes people living in counties that monitored ozone and lead concentrations above the new levels.

In addition, from 1990 to 2005, emissions of air toxics declined by approximately 42 percent. These reductions are the result of implementing stationary and mobile source regulations. The majority of the air toxics emitted in 2005 are also precursors of ozone and/or particle pollution.

In recent years, EPA has acted to dramatically improve America's air quality by designing and developing national programs that, when fully implemented, will achieve significant reductions in air emissions. The associated air quality benefits will lead to improved health, longevity, and quality of life for all Americans.


Weather Influence

Weather conditions influence emissions and air quality.  EPA has developed statistical approaches to account for weather’s influence on ozone and fine particles.  While these approaches do not change the quality of air we breathe, they do help us understand how well emission reduction programs are working. More information on trends in ozone adjusted for weather conditions can be found at http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/weather.html.

 

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